Stock Market Analysis by Trader Mark Gordon - Feb 22, 2011

(SLV) Silver iShare - weekly

(SLV) Silver iShare - weekly: " Silver is on the run...

via StockCharts.com

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Deckers Outdoor Corp. (NASDAQ) DECK
This week's stock is the marketer of the hugely popular UGG boots and Teva sandals. The company has
been showing some "monster" growth in earnings and sales and may be ready to make a big run higher.

The graph below shows both quarterly earnings and sales increases for the last 5 quarters. Notice the rapid acceleration in earnings in the last two quarters. This is extremely positive. Sales are also accelerating.

A weekly chart is showing a "Base on Base" chart pattern with a possible buy point of 56.27 (ten cents above the previous high (marker "A"). The last 2 full weeks have shown some nice accumulation on above average volume (marker "B").

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (NASDAQ) DECK - Markets luxury sheepskin footwear (Ugg) and sandals (Teva) worldwide. Also operates 18 retail stores - Group: Apparel Shoes Rel-mfg - Headquarters: Goleta, Ca - Market Cap:$2bil - Growth Rate (3-5 yr): 42% - 50-day Average Volume: 1.5m shares - Return on Equity: 27% - Yearly Earnings: 2011 EPS(est.) $3.95 +12%; 2010 EPS(est.) $3.52 +18% - Quarterly Earnings/Sales: Q210 EPS+156%; Sales +34% ;Q110 EPS +48%; Sales +16% ; Q409 EPS+29%; Sales+15%; Q309 EPS+30%, Sales+16%; Q209 EPS-31%, Sales+13%; Q109 EPS +7%, Sales+38%; Fund Sponsorship: 148(increasing); Management Owns: 3%; IPO Date: 10/15/1998; Earnings Due: 10/22/2010; Group Leaders: CROX, SKX, SHOO; - Why I like this stock: Strong group, good relative strength, solid brand, accelerating earnings and sales; high return on equity; strong chart pattern.

MARK'S MONSTER INDEX

Week Ending July 30, 2010 7 Above, 3 Below The 10-Week Line	Week Ending July 23, 2010 7 Above, 3 Below The 10-Week Line	Week Ending July 16, 2010 4 Above, 6 Below The 10-Week Line
AAPL (-1.3%) above10-wk line.	AAPL (+4.2%), above 10-week line.	AAPL (-3.7%), below 10-week line.
BIDU (+4.3%), above10-week line.	BIDU (+6.2%), above 10-week line.	BIDU (+3.3%), above 10-wk line.
CMG (+1.7%), above 10-week line.	CMG (+6.3%), above 10-week line.	CMG (-2.6%), below 10-week line.
CRUS (-1.6%), above 10-week line.	CRUS (+15.5%), above 10-week line.	CRUS (-2.7%), above 10-wk line.
FFIV (-1.7%), above 10-week line.	FFIV (+14.2%), above 10-week line.	FFIV (+1.5%), above 10-week line.
ISRG (+3.0%), above 10-week line.	ISRG (+3.0%), above 10-week line.	ISRG (+1.8%), below 10-week line.
LULU (-1.1%), above 10-week line.	LULU (+10.4%), above 10-week line.	LULU (-2.3%), below 10-week line.
NFLX (-4.8%), below 10-week line.	NFLX (-9.3%), below 10-week line.	NFLX (+0.7%), above 10-wk line.
SLW (-0.4%), below 10-week line.	SLW (+1.0%), below 10-week line..	SLW (-3.8%), below 10-week line.
SNDK (+5.5%), below 10-week line.	SNDK (-1.2%), below 10-week line.	SNDK(-2.3%), below 10-week line.
Weekly Gain/Loss	Weekly Gain/Loss	Weekly Gain/Loss
+0.13	+5.03	-1.01

Mark Gordon looks back ten years and compares the price action of gold and stocks and comes up with a clear winner. This is important information you need to know. With the Euro collapsing along with the sovereign debt of entire nations, you need to protect yourself for the possible downfall of your home currency. Find out what is a better "store of value," gold or stocks - also find out what asset class has gone up 20-25% over the last 10 years.

The price of gold has gone up over 400% in the last ten years. As governments around the globe continue to prop up and bailout everything they can, this will eventually lead to terrible inflation which will greatly benefit gold and could destroy the purchasing power of paper currencies. Gold and other precious metals have been "insurance" against monetary devaluations throughout history.

Mark Gordon looks at the health of the new rally that began on June 2nd 2010. The markets began their first day of an "attempted rally" on May 25th when the Nasdaq reversed and closed 3.3% off its lows for the day. On Day 2 the Nasdaq finished lower, but on Day 3 the index jumped 3.7% but the move came a day too soon to be counted. We start looking for "confirmation" on or after Day 4. Confirmation comes when a major index (Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500) jumpes 1.7% or greater on a pickup in volume. This happened on Day 6 when the Nasdaq gained 2.6% on a slight increase in volume.

Today, Friday Jun 4th, the Nasdaq suffered a "distribution day" or a down day on a pickup in volume from the previous session. This is a sign that institutional investors are dumping stock and does not bode well for this fledgling rally. There are "monster" leaders like AAPL, BIDU, SNDK, NFLX that are holding up well however. This still gives us hope that this rally will take hold. The next few days and weeks will be telling.

How to Spot a Market Bottom Pt. 2

How to Spot a Stock Market Bottom

THE STOCK SELL-OFF MAY BE ENDING SOON
Stocks are experiencing what looks like a "normal" correction during a "bull market" that began in March of 2009. Stocks usually run for about 2 years or so before entering a "bear market," so stocks may still move higher from here.

New! LIVE PORTFOLIO
Keep it simple and trade along with us. Mark Gordon is now managing a "virtual" portfolio using IBD/CAN SLIM trading rules. Paid members receive an email shortly after a trade is executed showing the price, and percentage allocated to the portfolio. Trades are made only during "confirmed" market rallies, and only the best "Monster" stocks are traded. In order to concentrate gains, a maximum of 4-5 trades are open at any time, and "margin" may be used. Strict sell rules are also applied and members will receive an email when a stock is sold. Join Us Now! Started March 1, 2010. (Trading growth stocks is risky and loses can occur. Only risk capital should be used. This is not investment advice. Consult an investment professional before making any investment).

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